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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesRN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (2–3, n=5)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$650$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #987PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)57% (87 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won100% of 32 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 32)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketovertimemarkets.xyz-singlesRN1
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $326Cowboys $37
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $270No $2
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $108Browns $1.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $164Colts $1.4K
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $46No $548