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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta2300gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (15718–8338, n=24056)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)
Consensus PnL$243K$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #843was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus38% (5 of 13 open)no open consensus position46% (6 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won84% of 10562 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1300)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1979)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3088)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4195)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta2300gringo00RN1
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $77—Commanders $28K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $7.7K
Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura
same side · consensus Masamichi Imamura
Yanki Erel $10—Yanki Erel $1.0K