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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| polaroid14 | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (280–303, n=583) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 61% (395–248, n=643) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $14.8M | -$352K | $194K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #766 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (26 of 47 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 542 at avg 45¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 21% of 47) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 51% (won 47% of 276) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 55% of 219) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | polaroid14 | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $129 | Over $2.6K | — |