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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poposub | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (580–1038, n=1618) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #384 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (78 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=10 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 1153 at avg 61¢, ROI −6% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 13% of 325) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 59% of 137) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 71% of 84) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 96% of 607) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poposub | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $279 | — | Yes $38K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $888 | — | No $24K |