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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poposubsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)36% (580–1038, n=1618)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$12K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #384was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +14 pts n=35, ROI +21%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=764, ROI −7%
  • Elections +3 pts n=88, ROI +3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won66% of 1153 at avg 61¢, ROI −6%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 13% of 325)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 59% of 137)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 71% of 84)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up53% (won 96% of 607)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpoposubsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $7.4K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $279—Yes $38K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $888—No $24K—