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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| primm | RN1 | ticklepickles444 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 60% (12–8, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$168K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #36 + pinned | was PM monthly #701 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 52% (83 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 76% of 17 at avg 59¢, ROI −7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 29% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 35% (won 67% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 35% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | RN1 | ticklepickles444 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State vs. Baylor opposite sides · consensus Baylor | Iowa State $16K | Baylor $21K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $4.2K | LSU $39 | — |
| Spread: Delaware (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Delaware | Delaware $2.1K | Kennesaw State $1.6K | — |
| Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | Over $405 | — |
| Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.4K | Under $4.2K | — |