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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | ticklepickles444 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 60% (12–8, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$168K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #701 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 57% (21 of 37 open) | 57% (86 of 152 open) | no open consensus position |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 76% of 17 at avg 59¢, ROI −7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 29% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 35% (won 67% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 35% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | ticklepickles444 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Broncos | — | Panthers $6.6K | Broncos $45K | — |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $285 | Rams $17K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $11K | Lions $4.7K | — |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $133 | Rams $13K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6.8K | Under $4.5K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $1.2K | Lions $8.3K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $131 | Giants $8.6K | — |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.8K | Over $1.4K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.9K | Under $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $2.0K | Dolphins $3.5K | — |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.3K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $97 | Over $5.0K | — |
| Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.0K | Over $99 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $745 | Rams $4.1K | — |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.6K | Over $142 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $94 | Cowboys $4.5K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $958 | Browns $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $50 | Browns $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $267 | Lions $787 | — |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $48K | Chiefs $13K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles same side · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $5.6K | Eagles $11K | — |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.3K | Under $7.5K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-14.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $1.6K | Dolphins $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) same side · consensus Giants | — | Eagles $3.4K | Eagles $217 | — |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Under $1.3K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $924 | Over $567 | — |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Saints $16 | Saints $1.4K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | Over $14 | — |