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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sentrio00gringo00beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (14145–13983, n=28128)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)
Consensus PnL$169K$3.5M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus36% (4 of 11 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won99% of 4081 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 96% of 235)0%3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 99% of 1077)0%29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 1343)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 100% of 1426)0%14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsentrio00gringo00beachboy4RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Katie Boulter
Viktorija Golubic $420——Viktorija Golubic $2.7K