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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stackingsatsBreakTheBankRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)49% (274–287, n=561)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL-$290K$11.0M$14.8M-$352K
Tracked asPM monthly #704PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)86% (134 of 156 open)57% (12 of 21 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +39 pts n=30, ROI +32%
  • MLB +32 pts n=204, ROI +30%
  • NHL +37 pts n=37, ROI +26%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won79% of 369 at avg 51¢, ROI +27%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 31% of 13)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 72% of 149)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 86% of 177)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 93% of 30)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.