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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stackingsatsjoseph00677RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)49% (274–287, n=561)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$290K$5.6M$14.8M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #704PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position57% (25 of 44 open)87% (143 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +39 pts n=30, ROI +32%
  • MLB +32 pts n=204, ROI +30%
  • NHL +37 pts n=37, ROI +26%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won79% of 369 at avg 51¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 31% of 13)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 72% of 149)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 86% of 177)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 93% of 30)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.