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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| suntori | surfandturf | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10674–13008, n=23682) | 54% (225–189, n=414) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $207K | $9.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #792 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (86 of 152 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=3302 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 3590) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 36% of 2197) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 59% of 2489) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 88% of 1874) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | suntori | surfandturf | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $81 | No $2.7K | — |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | Yes $2.3K | — |