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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
surfandturfbeachboy4BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)52% (273–252, n=525)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.8M$10.6M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #326was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)90% (149 of 165 open)64% (7 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −11 pts, n=58NBA −6 pts, n=93—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 12% of 109)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 46% of 114)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 60% of 176)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 137)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsurfandturfbeachboy4BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.7K——Yes $6.4K