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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
timebrotimesainttroplayCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)70% (528–228, n=756)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$58K$4.4M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #720 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus86% (30 of 35 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won73% of 1005 at avg 70¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 15% of 55)0%9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 54)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 62% of 352)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 89% of 544)0%2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.