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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| title1 | joseph00677 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (754–713, n=1467) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.2K | $5.6M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #941 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=83 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 859 at avg 54¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 10% of 271) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 45% of 109) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 63% of 143) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 90% of 336) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | title1 | joseph00677 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $148 | — | No $25K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $840 | — | Yes $3.6K |