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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tnl | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (541–489, n=1030) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$38K | $14.8M | -$352K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (38 of 51 open) | 55% (26 of 47 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −13 pts, n=17 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 993 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 17% of 248) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 44% of 245) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 60% of 248) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 86% of 252) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tnl | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $35K | — | — | No $407K |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $129 | Over $2.6K | — |