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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tnl | surfandturf | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (541–489, n=1030) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$38K | -$77K | $14.8M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (38 of 51 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 56% (25 of 45 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −13 pts, n=17 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 993 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 17% of 248) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 44% of 245) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 60% of 248) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 86% of 252) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tnl | surfandturf | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $35K | — | — | No $407K |