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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tomatosauce3BreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)67% (6–3, n=9)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$3.0K$10.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #879PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus position50% (11 of 22 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 43¢, ROI +17%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettomatosauce3BreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K