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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tradecraftRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)48% (2371–2607, n=4978)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$962K$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #156PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)63% (29 of 46 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +8 pts n=1696, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=592, ROI +4%
  • NFL +10 pts n=113, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won58% of 2593 at avg 51¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 11% of 791)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 47% of 452)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 78% of 484)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 96% of 866)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettradecraftRN100gringo00
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $81No $2.6K—
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2Shunsuke Mitsui $5—
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
same side · consensus Wilson Leite
Wilson Leite $9Wilson Leite $12K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $30No $3.3K—
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $24No $2.2K—
Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6No $71—