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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tradecraftsainttroplayRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)48% (2399–2637, n=5036)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$962K$4.4M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #156was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)no open consensus position59% (16 of 27 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +8 pts n=1701, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=592, ROI +4%
  • NFL +10 pts n=113, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won58% of 2599 at avg 51¢, ROI +5%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 11% of 791)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 47% of 453)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 78% of 485)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 96% of 870)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettradecraftsainttroplayRN100gringo00
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $310—Over $1.4K—
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $46—Over $678—
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $130—No $2.2K—
Spread: Commanders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $10—Commanders $1.4K—