← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| twinna | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (98–97, n=195) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #406 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (17 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (148 of 163 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −7 pts, n=103 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 207 at avg 47¢, ROI +8% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 15% of 39) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 48% of 79) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 61% of 64) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 88% of 25) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | twinna | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | No $28K | — |