← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| us391 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (1992–1950, n=3942) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $109K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #747 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 62% (16 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 2284 at avg 52¢, ROI +19% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 34% of 208) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 79% of 834) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 90% of 853) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 90% of 389) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | us391 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4 | — | — | Over $1.4K |