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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| yabanci | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (67–56, n=123) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | -$84K | $5.8M | $11.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #203 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | 57% (28 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=35 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 113 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 29% of 7) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 44% (won 40% of 50) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 71% of 45) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 73% of 11) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | yabanci | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $10 | — | — | Under $14 |