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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
yuahldjBreakTheBank00gringo00beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)90% (9–1, n=10)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$77K$10.6M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #658PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 83¢, ROI +19%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 192)0%29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up80% (won 100% of 8)20% (won 100% of 107)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketyuahldjBreakTheBank00gringo00beachboy4
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51KYes $272K——