Back to Traders
E3
Consensus PnL $54K · win rate 44% (50–63, n=113) · PM monthly #602 · holds 21 consensus positions
0xe3f2ecfd...13afe1c1Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$54.5K
Record
50W / 63L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 113 settled
Batting Avg
53.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2025
Source
PM monthly #602
Trades
186
Markets
162
Volume
$283.0K
Top consensus positions
21 in listed consensus markets · 10 of 21 on the consensus side (48%)- Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No $19K · now 52¢ · in at 36¢with the consensus (58% of 33)
- Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No $13K · now 12¢ · in at 12¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes $11K · now 74¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (69% of 45)
- Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes $10K · now 53¢ · in at 29¢against the consensus (No)
- Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No $9.7K · now 26¢ · in at 29¢with the consensus (45% of 40)
- Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No $7.6K · now 26¢ · in at 14¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes $4.6K · now 12¢ · in at 13¢against the consensus (No)
- Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes $4.1K · now 27¢ · in at 28¢with the consensus (63% of 31)
Specialties
65 settled consensus markets · held side won 72% at an average entry of 44¢- Elections
+31 pts
side won 79% of 47 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +19%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 32%(won 38% of 21)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 69% of 16)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 100% of 20)
- 70¢ and up: 12%(won 100% of 8)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.