Consensus PnL $136K · win rate 46% (269–316, n=585) · PM monthly #479 · holds 15 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$135.9K
Record
269W / 316L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 585 settled
Batting Avg
22.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1340
Source
PM monthly #479
Record (90 d)
388/757 · 51%
Trades
9,643
Markets
2,642
Volume
$19.9M
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Top consensus positions
15 in listed consensus markets · 11 of 15 on the consensus side (73%)- Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?No $77K · now 93¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (23% of 23)
- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?No $46K · now 84¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (40% of 31)
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)T1 $22K · now 35¢ · in at 34¢against the consensus (Karmine Corp)
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsGen.G $17K · now 81¢ · in at 80¢with the consensus (92% of 13)
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp $15K · now 36¢ · in at 34¢against the consensus (T1)
- Will T1 Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?No $13K · now 61¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
- Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes $12K · now 24¢ · in at 19¢with the consensus (78% of 27)
- Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?Yes $6.2K · now 81¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (67% of 6)
Specialties
548 settled consensus markets · held side won 45% at an average entry of 44¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where vtcchampion52's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 42%(won 3% of 231)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 35% of 91)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 79% of 70)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 99% of 156)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.