Consensus PnL $111K · win rate 63% (5–3, n=8) · PM monthly #275 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$111.2K
Record
5W / 3L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 8 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#691
Source
PM monthly #275
Record (90 d)
25/25 · 100%
Trades
5,004
Markets
105
Volume
$2.7M
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Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 5 on the consensus side (40%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming $9.1K · now 100¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (59% of 112)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 $3.5K · now 100¢ · in at 58¢with the consensus (54% of 115)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming $2.0K · now 50¢ · in at 50¢against the consensus (T1)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsT1 $21 · now 26¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (Bilibili Gaming)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 $3 · now 0¢ · in at 4¢against the consensus (Bilibili Gaming)
Specialties
25 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 70¢- Esports
+30 pts
side won 100% of 25 · avg entry 70¢
ROI −10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 100% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 56%(won 100% of 14)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.