NJIT Highlanders vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

6 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Rutgers Scarlet Knights (50%) · Rutgers Scarlet Knights at 100¢ · $5K held · ended Nov 10

NJIT Highlanders<1¢Rutgers Scarlet Knights>99¢Ended Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Consensus Traders

Rutgers Scarlet Knights 50%

Total Value

$4.8K

Combined PnL

$126.08

Smart Money Entry

97.4¢ → 99.6¢

+2% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

AvoidRutgers Scarlet Knights at 100%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

NJIT Highlanders0%

Rutgers Scarlet Knights100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Rutgers Scarlet Knights6 traders

Total Value$4.7K

Total Shares4,710

Combined PnL+$91.1

NJIT Highlanders6 traders

Total Value$143.74

Total Shares4,586

Combined PnL+$34.97

Rutgers Scarlet Knights — 50%NJIT Highlanders — 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+6 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 87%

Freshness

Fresh

7h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

56% of non-arb traders are on Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 87% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrNJIT Highlanders 67% · 6

Diverging

Top 1000Rutgers Scarlet Knights 56% · 9

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PA pagliacci4	Rutgers Scarlet Knightsavg 97.4¢	$4.2K	$4.3K	+$92.83	30% 14-32 (46)
nigiri99	Rutgers Scarlet Knightsavg 97.8¢	$159.52	$160.72	+$1.2	52% 128-119 (247)
38 38791873984189	Rutgers Scarlet Knightsavg 97.3¢	$441.61	$152.42	-$1.94	48% 939-1010 (1949)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	NJIT Highlandersavg 2.5¢	$84.02	$102.5	+$18.48	54% 1645-1416 (3061)
PA Pan9X<$100	Rutgers Scarlet Knightsavg 97.7¢	$83.58	$67.87	-$1.16	49% 440-464 (904)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	NJIT Highlandersavg 1.7¢	$14.19	$31.42	+$17.23	47% 149-168 (317)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100	Rutgers Scarlet Knightsavg 95¢	$25.78	$26.11	+$0.33	56% 488-383 (871)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Rutgers Scarlet Knightsavg 97.8¢	$9.78	$9.62	-$0.16	50% 1433-1435 (2868)
RN1CTR<$100	NJIT Highlandersavg 2.6¢	$6.19	$7.26	+$1.07	58% 3771-2731 (6502)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	NJIT Highlandersavg 2.7¢	$2.7	$1.6	-$1.1	26% 234-663 (897)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	NJIT Highlandersavg 2.8¢	$1.63	$0.93	-$0.7	25% 228-679 (907)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	NJIT Highlandersavg 2.5¢	$0.05	$0.03	-$0.02	43% 79-105 (184)

pagliacci4

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Invested

$4,186.1

Value

$4.3K

PnL

+$92.83

Record

30%

14-32 (46)

nigiri99

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Invested

$159.52

Value

$160.72

PnL

+$1.2

Record

52%

128-119 (247)

38791873984189

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Invested

$441.61

Value

$152.42

PnL

-$1.94

Record

48%

939-1010 (1949)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

NJIT Highlanders

Invested

$84.02

Value

$102.5

PnL

+$18.48

Record

54%

1645-1416 (3061)

Pan9X<$100

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Invested

$83.58

Value

$67.87

PnL

-$1.16

Record

49%

440-464 (904)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

NJIT Highlanders

Invested

$14.19

Value

$31.42

PnL

+$17.23

Record

47%

149-168 (317)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Invested

$25.78

Value

$26.11

PnL

+$0.33

Record

56%

488-383 (871)

Flaznorp<$100

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Invested

$9.78

Value

$9.62

PnL

-$0.16

Record

50%

1433-1435 (2868)

RN1CTR<$100

NJIT Highlanders

Invested

$6.19

Value

$7.26

PnL

+$1.07

Record

58%

3771-2731 (6502)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

NJIT Highlanders

Invested

$2.7

Value

$1.6

PnL

-$1.1

Record

26%

234-663 (897)

VenusianCTR<$100

NJIT Highlanders

Invested

$1.63

Value

$0.93

PnL

-$0.7

Record

25%

228-679 (907)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

NJIT Highlanders

Invested

$0.05

Value

$0.03

PnL

-$0.02

Record

43%

79-105 (184)

Research grade

AvoidRutgers Scarlet Knights at 100%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+6 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 87%

Freshness

Fresh

7h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

56% of non-arb traders are on Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 87% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrNJIT Highlanders 67% · 6

Diverging

Top 1000Rutgers Scarlet Knights 56% · 9

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Rutgers Scarlet Knights wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.