W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang

3 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Yujia Huang (30%) · Yujia Huang at 100¢ · $4K held · ends Nov 11

Sohyun Park<1¢Yujia Huang>99¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Yujia Huang

Consensus Traders

Yujia Huang 30%

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

$181.76

Smart Money Entry

75.6¢ → 100¢

+32% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

NeutralYujia Huang at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Yujia Huang

3 of 10 top traders (30%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Sohyun Park0%

Yujia Huang100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yujia Huang3 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares3,237

Combined PnL-$343.99

Sohyun Park7 traders

Total Value$1.9K

Total Shares5,521

Combined PnL+$525.75

Yujia Huang — 30%Sohyun Park — 70%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 76%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

67% of non-arb traders are on Yujia Huang. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 76% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYujia Huang 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrYujia Huang 100% · 2

Aligned

Hand-pickedYujia Huang 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Yujia Huang 67% · 6

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Yujia Huangavg 75.8¢	$2.4K	$2.1K	-$332.24	53% 60020-52387 (112407)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Sohyun Parkavg 24.4¢	$1.2K	$1.8K	+$525.68	46% 1376-1620 (2996)
poshposhCTR	Sohyun Parkavg 30¢	$90	$104.28	+$14.28	57% 12169-9271 (21440)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Yujia Huangavg 71.3¢	$97.57	$85.46	-$12.12	51% 24004-22756 (46760)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Sohyun Parkavg 30.2¢	$22.32	$25.51	+$3.19	47% 10953-12334 (23287)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Sohyun Parkavg 42.7¢	$16.66	$13.26	-$3.4	51% 1041-990 (2031)
EU EulhunterCTR<$100	Sohyun Parkavg 35.5¢	$7.1	$6.8	-$0.3	54% 6099-5108 (11207)
LR lryyy<$100	Yujia Huangavg 58¢	$2.9	$3.26	+$0.36	47% 9121-10246 (19367)
TH thestingsnakeCTR<$100	Sohyun Parkavg 30¢	$1.5	$1.74	+$0.24	60% 4334-2905 (7239)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Sohyun Parkavg 29¢	$13.95	$0.02	-$13.93	50% 20647-20936 (41583)

RN1

Yujia Huang

Invested

$2,385.05

Value

$2.1K

PnL

-$332.24

Record

53%

60020-52387 (112407)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Sohyun Park

Invested

$1,243.02

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$525.68

Record

46%

1376-1620 (2996)

poshposhCTR

Sohyun Park

Invested

$90

Value

$104.28

PnL

+$14.28

Record

57%

12169-9271 (21440)

Flaznorp<$100

Yujia Huang

Invested

$97.57

Value

$85.46

PnL

-$12.12

Record

51%

24004-22756 (46760)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Sohyun Park

Invested

$22.32

Value

$25.51

PnL

+$3.19

Record

47%

10953-12334 (23287)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Sohyun Park

Invested

$16.66

Value

$13.26

PnL

-$3.4

Record

51%

1041-990 (2031)

EulhunterCTR<$100

Sohyun Park

Invested

$7.1

Value

$6.8

PnL

-$0.3

Record

54%

6099-5108 (11207)

lryyy<$100

Yujia Huang

Invested

$2.9

Value

$3.26

PnL

+$0.36

Record

47%

9121-10246 (19367)

thestingsnakeCTR<$100

Sohyun Park

Invested

$1.5

Value

$1.74

PnL

+$0.24

Record

60%

4334-2905 (7239)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Sohyun Park

Invested

$13.95

Value

$0.02

PnL

-$13.93

Record

50%

20647-20936 (41583)

Research grade

NeutralYujia Huang at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Yujia Huang

3 of 10 top traders (30%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 76%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

67% of non-arb traders are on Yujia Huang. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 76% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYujia Huang 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrYujia Huang 100% · 2

Aligned

Hand-pickedYujia Huang 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Yujia Huang 67% · 6

Aligned

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yujia Huang wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.