Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was No β but Yes won instead.
Will Club Atletico La Paz win on 2026-11-04?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
No 63%
$604.46
-$49.84
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 42.1Β’ | $128.51 | $305.61 | +$156.71 | 51% 25264-24010 (49274) |
![]() rayvanmechelen | Yesavg 38.2Β’ | $111.84 | $292.85 | +$181.01 | 73% 2458-917 (3375) |
![]() oieshfn345CTR | Noavg 62.2Β’ | $237.4 | β | -$243.52 | 58% 2023-1490 (3513) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR | Noavg 63Β’ | $130.65 | β | -$130.65 | 58% 46107-33290 (79397) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Yesavg 69Β’ | $5.38 | $6 | +$0.62 | 47% 11436-12872 (24308) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Noavg 61Β’ | $7.82 | β | -$7.82 | 53% 60814-53199 (114013) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 61Β’ | $6.1 | β | -$6.1 | 50% 28230-28101 (56331) |
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100 | Noavg 8Β’ | $0.09 | β | -$0.09 | 48% 5344-5833 (11177) |
Invested
$128.51
Value
$305.61
PnL
+$156.71
Record
51%
25264-24010 (49274)
rayvanmechelenInvested
$111.84
Value
$292.85
PnL
+$181.01
Record
73%
2458-917 (3375)
oieshfn345CTRInvested
$237.4
Value
β
PnL
-$243.52
Record
58%
2023-1490 (3513)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$130.65
Value
β
PnL
-$130.65
Record
58%
46107-33290 (79397)
Invested
$5.38
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.62
Record
47%
11436-12872 (24308)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$7.82
Value
β
PnL
-$7.82
Record
53%
60814-53199 (114013)
Invested
$6.1
Value
β
PnL
-$6.1
Record
50%
28230-28101 (56331)
Invested
$0.09
Value
β
PnL
-$0.09
Record
48%
5344-5833 (11177)