Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (403–484, n=887)no settled market46% (555–663, n=1218)
Consensus PnL—$90K—$11.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #458—PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (77 of 111 open)no open consensus position66% (21 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Entertainment −4 pts, n=76——
Settled positions, side won—62% of 1769 at avg 61¢, ROI +8%—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—37% (won 2% of 650)—10% (won 81% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 46% of 41)—36% (won 98% of 201)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 79% of 58)—35% (won 99% of 196)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 99% of 1020)—19% (won 100% of 109)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.