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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MadridTimendb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4521–3297, n=7818)49% (952–993, n=1945)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M-$1.3K$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #68PM monthly #563PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (14 of 24 open)47% (123 of 260 open)74% (81 of 110 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1724)17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2055)19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2092)59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MadridTimendb1
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $211KNo $41—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.4KUnder $84—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $11No $6.3K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KUnder $37—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KNo $617—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10No $1.3K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $119KTaylor Fritz $25K—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $25KNo $1.8K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $25KUnder $123—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $773No $9.3K—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $870Julia Riera $1.4K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $161No $1.8K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $29No $1.6K—
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $106No $317—