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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (572–653, n=1225)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (875–459, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$79K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #50PM monthly #2PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position45% (27 of 60 open)no open consensus position70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections ±0 pts, n=286—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%61% of 1803 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%36% (won 1% of 648)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢0%3% (won 40% of 55)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)2% (won 69% of 45)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up0%59% (won 99% of 1055)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343joseph00677ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $64—No $1.4M
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $19—No $3.2K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $749—Yes $2.9M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
—Yes $207—Yes $544K