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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)49% (1233–1284, n=2517)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$13K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #813PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (25 of 62 open)58% (53 of 91 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=390——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%47% of 1392 at avg 46¢, ROI +2%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢0%38% (won 10% of 523)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%18% (won 40% of 246)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)14% (won 64% of 199)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%30% (won 88% of 424)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69RN1sainttroplay
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5Over $3.9K—
Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
—Valentino Grippo $3Valentino Grippo $52—