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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (842–652, n=1494)no settled market47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$52K—$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #824—PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (107 of 133 open)no open consensus position67% (117 of 174 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +5 pts n=44, ROI −3%
  • F1 +5 pts n=27, ROI 0%
  • Esports +4 pts n=22, ROI 0%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Weather ±0 pts, n=885——
Settled positions, side won—62% of 1699 at avg 62¢, ROI −2%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—35% (won 2% of 602)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 42% of 48)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 70% of 60)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 99% of 989)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.