Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
15
No 57%
$512.73
-$425.41
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 34¢ | $195.47 | — | -$216.11 | 51% 23440-22208 (45648) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Noavg 35¢ | $157.69 | — | -$157.69 | 50% 35629-35110 (70739) |
 VeryLucky888 | Yesavg 64.9¢ | $163.64 | $236.59 | +$82.96 | 58% 44668-32527 (77195) |
CA CannaeCTR | Noavg 34¢ | $105.22 | — | -$105.22 | 53% 16390-14565 (30955) |
SU suntori | Yesavg 66¢ | $98.46 | $149.18 | +$51.47 | 45% 13709-16632 (30341) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 35.2¢ | $55.72 | — | -$55.72 | 56% 959-749 (1708) |
AN AnonymousUsername<$100 | Yesavg 65¢ | $31.27 | $39.36 | +$8.2 | 71% 6986-2793 (9779) |
ET Ethanael02<$100 | Yesavg 67.1¢ | $23.8 | $35.45 | +$11.66 | 62% 97-59 (156) |
 0xheavy888<$100 | Yesavg 65¢ | $19.76 | $30.4 | +$10.64 | 56% 7605-6096 (13701) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 35.8¢ | $17.54 | — | -$17.54 | 52% 847-783 (1630) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Noavg 34¢ | $15.36 | — | -$15.36 | 50% 25264-24973 (50237) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 34.4¢ | $15.49 | — | -$15.49 | 58% 18645-13742 (32387) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 35¢ | $14.35 | — | -$14.35 | 53% 928-828 (1756) |
OM omnibus-424779<$100 | Yesavg 67.1¢ | $14.59 | $21.74 | +$7.15 | 31% 1315-2873 (4188) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Noavg 36.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 921-802 (1723) |
Invested
$195.47
Value
—
PnL
-$216.11
Record
51%
23440-22208 (45648)
Invested
$157.69
Value
—
PnL
-$157.69
Record
50%
35629-35110 (70739)
VeryLucky888Invested
$163.64
Value
$236.59
PnL
+$82.96
Record
58%
44668-32527 (77195)
Invested
$105.22
Value
—
PnL
-$105.22
Record
53%
16390-14565 (30955)
Invested
$98.46
Value
$149.18
PnL
+$51.47
Record
45%
13709-16632 (30341)
Invested
$55.72
Value
—
PnL
-$55.72
Record
56%
959-749 (1708)
Invested
$31.27
Value
$39.36
PnL
+$8.2
Record
71%
6986-2793 (9779)
Invested
$23.8
Value
$35.45
PnL
+$11.66
Record
62%
97-59 (156)
0xheavy888<$100Invested
$19.76
Value
$30.4
PnL
+$10.64
Record
56%
7605-6096 (13701)
Invested
$17.54
Value
—
PnL
-$17.54
Record
52%
847-783 (1630)
Invested
$15.36
Value
—
PnL
-$15.36
Record
50%
25264-24973 (50237)
Invested
$15.49
Value
—
PnL
-$15.49
Record
58%
18645-13742 (32387)
Invested
$14.35
Value
—
PnL
-$14.35
Record
53%
928-828 (1756)
Invested
$14.59
Value
$21.74
PnL
+$7.15
Record
31%
1315-2873 (4188)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
921-802 (1723)