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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (88–119, n=207)41% (616–869, n=1485)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL—$28K$8.4M$3.7M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #999PM monthly #1PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position89% (33 of 37 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Esports −14 pts, n=44——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 185 at avg 45¢, ROI +6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 10% of 48)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 32% of 60)36% (won 98% of 212)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 62% of 47)35% (won 100% of 205)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up—16% (won 83% of 30)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.