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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)46% (348–408, n=756)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$28K$11.0M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #929PM monthly #1PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)59% (67 of 113 open)59% (39 of 66 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 353 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%3% (won 90% of 10)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 98% of 123)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)60% (won 98% of 212)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%2% (won 100% of 8)19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792BreakTheBankRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea
same side · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
—Arthur Gea $2.3K—Arthur Gea $13K