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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | 1rerrr | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 49% (1170–1194, n=2364) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13923–15417, n=29340) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | -$53K | $11.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #934 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 79% (133 of 168 open) | 51% (27 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 77% of 1301 at avg 48¢, ROI +27% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 63% of 165) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 41% (won 74% of 536) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 38% (won 83% of 497) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 8% (won 87% of 103) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | 1rerrr | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Grizzlies $11K | Pelicans $129 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Grizzlies $782 | Pelicans $485 |