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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankFlaznorppakukudolphi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (80–92, n=172)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M$161K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #22was PM monthly #978
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)68% (186 of 273 open)89% (8 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22MLB −34 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%43% of 190 at avg 45¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)38% (won 8% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)14% (won 33% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)21% (won 55% of 40)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)26% (won 90% of 50)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankFlaznorppakukudolphi
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $218KPacers $6.0K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $357Pacers $1.5K—