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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 54% (4633–3872, n=8505) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $14.8M | $154K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #166 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 53% (35 of 66 open) | 70% (43 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1079 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 67% of 4851 at avg 68¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 27% (won 2% of 1290) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 4% (won 35% of 183) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 5% (won 59% of 227) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 65% (won 97% of 3151) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | VictorLudorum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $20K | — | No $21 |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | No $229 |