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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 54% (651–564, n=1215) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $23K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #219 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (56 of 100 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) | 46% (16 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 284 at avg 72¢, ROI +29% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 7% (won 100% of 21) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 17% (won 100% of 48) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 14% (won 100% of 40) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 62% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taranto: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | — | Kilian Feldbausch $230 | — | Raul Brancaccio $167 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot same side · consensus Novak Djokovic | — | Novak Djokovic $1.5K | — | Novak Djokovic $16K |
| Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Edas Butvilas same side · consensus Laslo Djere | — | Laslo Djere $256 | — | Laslo Djere $3.1K |
| Chennai Open: Aliona Falei vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Magda Linette | — | Aliona Falei $144 | — | Aliona Falei $1.5K |