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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00aHjCzBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market31% (4162–9127, n=13289)45% (571–700, n=1271)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL—$285K$9.4M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #69PM monthly #1PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (100 of 153 open)52% (12 of 23 open)56% (84 of 150 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +10 pts n=15, ROI +13%
  • Finance +3 pts n=19, ROI +20%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Soccer −4 pts, n=1126——
Settled positions, side won—33% of 3192 at avg 36¢, ROI +15%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—61% (won 1% of 1959)11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 9% of 178)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 57% of 56)35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 98% of 999)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00aHjCzBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $30KPelicans $125
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $19KPelicans $135
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $323Pelicans $143
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
—No $15No $182K—
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $34—No $5.1K
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $26—No $3.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $159—No $2.4K