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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00austrndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (580–303, n=883)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL—-$39K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #980PM monthly #95PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position72% (52 of 72 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 512 at avg 79¢, ROI +7%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 36% of 11)13% (won 15% of 186)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 86% of 28)19% (won 39% of 267)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 87% of 86)23% (won 58% of 326)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up—76% (won 98% of 387)44% (won 94% of 619)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.