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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00e46m3ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (11407–3918, n=15325)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—$925K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #148PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (466 of 598 open)74% (34 of 46 open)67% (156 of 234 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 19% of 2052)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 53% of 368)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 72% of 497)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 97% of 2506)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00e46m3ndb1RN1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6K—No $16
SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $274—Over $615
Exact Score: PSV 0 - 0 Club Brugge KV?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $6—Yes $52
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $33—