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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00ndb1RN1whig
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)62% (414–251, n=665)
Consensus PnL—$3.2M$14.8M$356K
Tracked as—PM monthly #103PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #914
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (93 of 130 open)58% (18 of 31 open)71% (39 of 55 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—Finance −7 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%47% of 622 at avg 40¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)45% (won 13% of 280)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)18% (won 43% of 109)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)13% (won 81% of 79)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)25% (won 95% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.