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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
01258787xy48487484545122RN1beachboy40xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)89% (91–11, n=102)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)68% (43–20, n=63)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$298K$13.4M$5.8M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #84PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)80% (4 of 5 open)100% (2 of 2 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +7 pts n=68, ROI +11%
  • MMA +15 pts n=20, ROI +14%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=93Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won89% of 96 at avg 81¢, ROI +10%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 20% of 5)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 38% of 8)22% (won 94% of 5518)30% (won 57% of 63)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 78% of 9)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 100% of 74)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market01258787xy48487484545122RN1beachboy40xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud
opposite sides · consensus Isabella Shinikova
Isabella Shinikova $15KDune Vaissaud $273——