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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)41% (2236–3154, n=5390)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$57K$5.8M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #598was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won90% of 1324 at avg 57¢, ROI +18%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 65% of 246)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 88% of 259)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 94% of 301)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 99% of 518)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.