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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba849200gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (830–790, n=1620)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)
Consensus PnL$186K$3.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #245was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position90% (144 of 160 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 825 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 3)0%10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 304)0%36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 99% of 510)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 75% of 8)0%19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba849200gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $23K—No $32K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7.9K—Yes $34K—