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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (168–312, n=480) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $11.0M | $194K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #138 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (27 of 51 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1344 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 495) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 35% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 84% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 99% of 787) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | Yes $274K | — | — |