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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (398–541, n=939)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$34K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #159PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (120 of 163 open)no open consensus position64% (105 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −2 pts, n=57——
Settled positions, side won59% of 1724 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 2% of 680)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 44% of 43)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 82% of 44)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 957)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.